Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | DUKE | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | — | 1.50 |
| Finishing drives | — | 4.20 |
| EPA/play | 0.04 | −0.12 |
| Success rate | 35.1% | 44.6% |
| Rush success | 38.6% | 53.6% |
| Pass success | 30.0% | 39.5% |
| Yards per play | 4.32 | 4.54 |
| Explosive plays | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Havoc | 6.8% | 16.2% |
| Pace | 74.0 | 74.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 1:02 PM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range