Alabama at Tennessee
Final
ALA72% TENN28%
Missed TEMPO had ALA by 9.1. TENN won by 16.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOALA by 9.10.6 pts toward ALA vs the line | Market lineALA by 8.5Opened: ALA by 4.3 | FinalTENN by 16.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO58.97.1 pts over the line | Market line51.8Opened: 55.0 | Final36 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 25.1 points
- Total miss
- 22.9 points
- Market margin miss
- 24.5 points
- Market total miss
- 15.8 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | ALA | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 0.77 | 2.00 |
| Finishing drives | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| EPA/play | −0.40 | −0.08 |
| Success rate | 31.6% | 45.8% |
| Rush success | 30.0% | 46.2% |
| Pass success | 35.3% | 46.9% |
| Yards per play | 4.23 | 4.93 |
| Explosive plays | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Havoc | 26.3% | 8.3% |
| Pace | 58.0 | 72.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range