Florida State at Miami
Final
FSU9% MIA91%
Called TEMPO had MIA by 20.4. MIA won by 8.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOMIA by 20.40.6 pts toward FSU vs the line | Market lineMIA by 21.0Opened: MIA by 18.8 | FinalMIA by 8.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO55.80.1 pts over the line | Market line55.8Opened: 55.0 | Final78 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 12.4 points
- Total miss
- 22.2 points
- Market margin miss
- 13.0 points
- Market total miss
- 22.3 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | FSU | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 2.15 | 2.33 |
| Finishing drives | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| EPA/play | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Success rate | 33.3% | 43.2% |
| Rush success | 26.7% | 36.6% |
| Pass success | 42.3% | 51.5% |
| Yards per play | 5.77 | 6.15 |
| Explosive plays | 14.0% | 14.9% |
| Havoc | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Pace | 57.0 | 74.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range