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The Citadel 0 Forecast 4.8

The Citadel at Texas A&M

Final

The Citadel<1% TAMU>99%

Called TEMPO had TAMU by 51.2. TAMU won by 41.

Forecast and result

Forecast
MeasureTEMPOFinal
MarginTEMPOTAMU by 51.2FinalTAMU by 41.0
Total pointsTEMPO60.7Final41

A lopsided forecast: each team’s projected points are floored at zero, so the margin is a little smaller than the rating gap plus home field. Why

Grading

Forecast results

Straight upSpreadTotal
Margin miss
10.2 points
Total miss
19.7 points

Actual game measures

How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.

Actual offensive measures for both teams
MeasureThe CitadelTAMU
Points per drive0.007.00
Finishing drives—7.00
EPA/play−0.340.67
Success rate28.6%67.6%
Rush success28.0%71.4%
Pass success—61.5%
Yards per play2.717.18
Explosive plays3.6%14.7%
Havoc10.7%2.9%
Pace57.065.0

Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.

Series

Head to head

Ratings this season

Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.

90% range

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com