Big TenSpartans

Michigan State

42nd of 1283–9

Rank

42nd

of 128 FBS teams

Rating

+6.5

90% range −4.0 to 16.9

Offense

31.4

51st: points scored vs an average team

Defense

24.9

34th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–9

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

12 games, 3–9

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 2 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Furman W 28–13

Rating change−3.1

Wk 3Sep 17 · 7:30 PM ET at#18

Notre Dame W 36–28

Rating change+2.5

Wk 4Sep 24 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Wisconsin L 6–30

Rating change−3.3

Wk 5Oct 1 · 8:00 PM ET at

Indiana L 21–24

Rating change−1.3

Wk 6Oct 8 · 3:30 PM ET vs

BYU L 14–31

Rating change−2.5

Wk 7Oct 15 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Northwestern L 40–54

Rating change−1.9

Wk 8Oct 22 · 7:30 PM ET at

Maryland L 17–28

Rating change+0.1

Wk 9Oct 29 · 12:00 PM ET vs#2

Michigan L 23–32

Rating change+2.4

Wk 10Nov 5 · 12:00 PM ET at

Illinois L 27–31

Rating change−0.7

Wk 11Nov 12 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Rutgers W 49–0

Rating change+3.7

Wk 12Nov 19 · 12:00 PM ET vs#2

Ohio State L 16–17

Rating change+1.8

Wk 13Nov 26 · 3:30 PM ET at#15

Penn State L 12–45

Rating change−1.8

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2016

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2015	Big Ten	28 of 128	10.7	30.9	20.2	12–2	Seed3

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

MSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles