ACCTar Heels

North Carolina

64th of 1303–9

Rank

64th

of 130 FBS teams

Rating

+1.1

90% range −9.3 to 11.5

Offense

30.1

58th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

29.0

62nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–9

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

12 games, 3–9

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 2 · 12:20 PM ET vs

California L 30–35

Rating change−1.0

Wk 2Sep 9 · 12:00 PM ET vs#22

Louisville L 35–47

Rating change−1.2

Wk 3Sep 16 · 3:30 PM ET at

Old Dominion W 53–23

Rating change+4.6

Wk 4Sep 23 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Duke L 17–27

Rating change−1.2

Wk 5Sep 30 · 12:00 PM ET at

Georgia Tech L 7–33

Rating change−2.7

Wk 6Oct 7 · 3:30 PM ET vs#16

Notre Dame L 10–33

Rating change−1.9

Wk 7Oct 14 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Virginia L 14–20

Rating change−1.5

Wk 8Oct 21 · 3:30 PM ET at#21

Virginia Tech L 7–59

Rating change−3.0

Wk 9Oct 28 · 12:00 PM ET vs#16

Miami L 19–24

Rating change+2.3

Wk 11Nov 9 · 7:30 PM ET at

Pittsburgh W 34–31

Rating change−0.3

Wk 12Nov 18 · 3:00 PM ET vs

Western Carolina W 65–10

Rating change+3.0

Wk 13Nov 25 · 3:30 PM ET at#24

NC State L 21–33

Rating change−0.2

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2017

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2016	ACC	21 of 128	11.8	36.0	24.2	8–5	—
2015	ACC	18 of 128	13.2	41.3	28.1	11–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UNC offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles