Sun BeltRed Wolves

Arkansas State

71st of 1288–5

Rank

71st

of 128 FBS teams

Rating

−2.3

90% range −12.0 to 7.5

Offense

26.3

88th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

28.6

54th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

8–5

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

13 games, 8–5

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 2 · 9:00 PM ET vs

Toledo L 10–31

Rating change−1.6

Wk 2Sep 10 · 7:30 PM ET at

Auburn L 14–51

Rating change−2.7

Wk 3Sep 16 · 9:00 PM ET at

Utah State L 20–34

Rating change+0.9

Wk 4Sep 24 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Central Arkansas L 23–28

Rating change−1.8

Wk 6Oct 5 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Georgia Southern W 27–26

Rating change+3.0

Wk 7Oct 15 · 7:00 PM ET vs

South Alabama W 17–7

Rating change+1.2

Wk 9Oct 29 · 7:00 PM ET vs

UL Monroe W 51–10

Rating change+3.3

Wk 10Nov 3 · 7:30 PM ET at

Georgia State W 31–16

Rating change+0.1

Wk 11Nov 12 · 3:00 PM ET vs

New Mexico State W 41–22

Rating change−0.6

Wk 12Nov 17 · 9:30 PM ET at

Troy W 35–3

Rating change+3.0

Wk 13Nov 26 · 12:00 PM ET at

Louisiana L 19–24

Rating change0.0

Wk 14Dec 3 · 7:30 PM ET at

Texas State W 36–14

Rating change−0.4

PostDec 17 · 5:30 PM ET at

UCFAUTONATION CURE BOWL W 31–13

Rating change+1.0

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2016

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2015	Sun Belt	65 of 128	1.1	36.2	35.1	9–4	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

ARST offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles