Sun BeltBobcats

Texas State

83rd of 1338–5

Rank

83rd

of 133 FBS teams

Rating

−5.5

90% range −14.8 to 3.7

Offense

29.4

48th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

34.9

119th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

8–5

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

13 games, 8–5

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 2 · 7:00 PM ET at#24

Baylor W 42–31

Rating change+6.5

Wk 2Sep 9 · 3:30 PM ET at

UTSA L 13–20

Rating change+2.2

Wk 3Sep 16 · 8:30 PM ET vs

Jackson State W 77–34

Rating change+5.3

Wk 4Sep 23 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Nevada W 35–24

Rating change−1.2

Wk 5Sep 30 · 7:00 PM ET at

Southern Miss W 50–36

Rating change+2.3

Wk 6Oct 7 · 3:30 PM ET at

Louisiana L 30–34

Rating change−0.3

Wk 7Oct 14 · 7:00 PM ET vs

UL Monroe W 21–20

Rating change−2.1

Wk 9Oct 28 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Troy L 13–31

Rating change−0.1

Wk 10Nov 4 · 5:00 PM ET vs

Georgia Southern W 45–24

Rating change+1.6

Wk 11Nov 11 · 3:30 PM ET at

Coastal Carolina L 23–31

Rating change−0.7

Wk 12Nov 18 · 3:00 PM ET at

Arkansas State L 31–77

Rating change−4.1

Wk 13Nov 25 · 7:00 PM ET vs

South Alabama W 52–44

Rating change+0.8

PostDec 26 · 5:30 PM ET vs

RiceSERVPRO First Responder Bowl W 45–21

Rating change+1.8

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2023

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2022	Sun Belt	121 of 131	−16.0	17.2	33.1	4–8	—
2021	Sun Belt	117 of 130	−16.5	20.4	36.9	4–8	—
2020	Sun Belt	115 of 127	−17.5	23.4	40.8	2–10	—
2019	Sun Belt	123 of 130	−20.0	14.9	34.9	3–9	—
2018	Sun Belt	114 of 130	−16.4	16.9	33.3	3–9	—
2017	Sun Belt	127 of 130	−24.6	15.8	40.4	2–10	—
2016	Sun Belt	128 of 128	−32.2	14.3	46.5	2–10	—
2015	Sun Belt	118 of 128	−19.0	20.1	39.1	3–9	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

TXST offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles