Sun BeltThundering Herd

Marshall

Next: vs South AlabamaOct 20

Rank

114th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−14.7

90% range −22.5 to −6.9

Offense

20.3

105th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

35.0

126th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–3

5.6–6.4 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 3–3

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET at#18

Penn State L 0–45

Rating change−2.0

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Middle Tennessee W 28–26

Rating change−2.2

Wk 3Sep 19 · 6:30 PM ET at

Missouri State W 30–24

Rating change0.0

Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Gardner-Webb W 36–35

Rating change−1.3

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:45 PM ET at

James Madison L 17–45

Rating change−1.0

Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Coastal Carolina L 21–27

Rating change+0.1

Wk 8Oct 20 · 7:30 PM ET vs

South Alabama Win 49%

Wk 9Oct 31 · 1:00 PM ET at

Old Dominion Est. 44%

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at

Georgia Southern Est. 20%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vs

App State Est. 50%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs

Georgia State Est. 37%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at

UL Monroe Est. 64%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 5.6–6.4
Conference record: 2.6–5.4

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: <1%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Sun Belt	86 of 136	−6.3	25.0	31.3	5–7	—
2024	Sun Belt	72 of 134	−1.0	26.1	27.1	10–3	—
2023	Sun Belt	93 of 133	−7.5	20.9	28.4	6–7	—
2022	Sun Belt	52 of 131	2.8	23.2	20.4	9–4	—
2021	C-USA	67 of 130	0.4	27.7	27.2	7–6	—
2020	C-USA	80 of 127	−3.5	21.5	25.0	7–3	—
2019	C-USA	88 of 130	−5.9	23.6	29.5	8–5	—
2018	C-USA	67 of 130	0.4	26.5	26.1	9–4	—
2017	C-USA	79 of 130	−4.2	23.8	28.0	8–5	—
2016	C-USA	118 of 128	−17.3	19.7	37.0	3–9	—
2015	C-USA	49 of 128	4.8	28.7	23.9	10–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

MRSH offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles