C-USABlue Raiders

Middle Tennessee

Next: at Florida InternationalOct 20

Rank

134th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−21.1

90% range −29.0 to −13.1

Offense

15.2

130th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

36.2

131st: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–3

4.7–7.3 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 3–3

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Murray State W 38–14

Rating change−0.2

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET at

Marshall L 26–28

Rating change+1.6

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Nevada W 27–20

Rating change+0.6

Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET at

Jacksonville State L 13–23

Rating change−1.5

Wk 5Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET at

Kansas L 0–55

Rating change−3.6

Wk 7Oct 13 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Delaware W 33–30

Rating change+0.9

Wk 8Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET at

Florida International Win 19%

Wk 9Oct 28 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Kennesaw State Est. 37%

Wk 10Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Western Kentucky Est. 35%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET at

Liberty Est. 8%

Wk 12Nov 21 · 2:00 PM ET at

Sam Houston Est. 33%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 2:00 PM ET vs

New Mexico State Est. 40%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 4.7–7.3
Conference record: 2.7–5.3

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 2%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	C-USA	126 of 136	−18.5	17.3	35.8	3–9	—
2024	C-USA	130 of 134	−23.8	14.3	38.1	3–9	—
2023	C-USA	105 of 133	−10.7	20.6	31.3	4–8	—
2022	C-USA	101 of 131	−8.4	23.6	32.0	8–5	—
2021	C-USA	89 of 130	−5.4	24.5	29.9	7–6	—
2020	C-USA	108 of 127	−14.4	23.6	38.0	3–6	—
2019	C-USA	102 of 130	−9.0	24.9	33.9	4–8	—
2018	C-USA	77 of 130	−2.3	28.0	30.3	8–6	—
2017	C-USA	84 of 130	−5.7	26.3	32.0	7–6	—
2016	C-USA	97 of 128	−9.8	33.9	43.6	8–5	—
2015	C-USA	67 of 128	0.9	31.5	30.6	7–6	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

MTSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles