C-USABears

Missouri State

Next: at DelawareOct 20

Rank

120th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−15.9

90% range −24.0 to −7.8

Offense

17.9

114th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

33.8

121st: points allowed vs an average team

Record

2–4

4.3–7.7 projected over the regular season

Playoff

0%

chance to make the field

12 games, 2–4

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET at#7

Texas A&M L 0–50

Rating change−1.8

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Lindenwood W 48–14

Rating change+3.5

Wk 3Sep 19 · 6:30 PM ET vs

Marshall L 24–30

Rating change−0.5

Wk 4Sep 26 · 9:00 PM ET at#24

SMU L 24–34

Rating change+0.4

Wk 6Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET at

Western Kentucky L 13–34

Rating change−2.2

Wk 7Oct 14 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Kennesaw State W 24–21

Rating change+0.7

Wk 8Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET at

Delaware Win 38%

Wk 9Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Sam Houston Est. 59%

Wk 10Nov 7 · 4:00 PM ET at

Florida International Est. 29%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 3:00 PM ET vs

New Mexico State Est. 53%

Wk 12Nov 21 · 2:00 PM ET at

Jacksonville State Est. 28%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Liberty Est. 23%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 4.3–7.7
Conference record: 3.3–4.7

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 5%
Win the conference: 2%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	C-USA	107 of 136	−13.2	20.3	33.5	7–6	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

MOSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles