C-USABearkats

Sam Houston

Next: vs New Mexico StateOct 21

Rank

125th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−16.7

90% range −24.4 to −8.9

Offense

16.0

126th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

32.6

116th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

1–5

3.6–8.4 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 1–5

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET at

Troy L 21–24

Rating change+1.9

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Tulsa L 17–23

Rating change+1.4

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Nicholls W 59–0

Rating change+3.9

Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET at#15

Texas Tech L 14–49

Rating change−0.8

Wk 6Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET at

Liberty L 3–35

Rating change−3.6

Wk 7Oct 14 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Western Kentucky L 3–16

Rating change−1.0

Wk 8Oct 21 · 8:00 PM ET vs

New Mexico State Win 51%

Wk 9Oct 27 · 8:00 PM ET at

Missouri State Est. 41%

Wk 10Nov 7 · 7:00 PM ET at

Jacksonville State Est. 26%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Kennesaw State Est. 48%

Wk 12Nov 21 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Middle Tennessee Est. 67%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 2:00 PM ET at

Florida International Est. 28%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 3.6–8.4
Conference record: 2.6–5.4

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 2%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	C-USA	135 of 136	−28.2	12.6	40.8	2–10	—
2024	C-USA	103 of 134	−10.7	17.3	27.9	10–3	—
2023	C-USA	124 of 133	−16.5	16.3	32.8	3–9	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

SHSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles