Mountain WestSpartans

San José State

Next: at NevadaOct 24

Rank

119th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−15.9

90% range −23.6 to −8.1

Offense

16.5

121st: points scored vs an average team

Defense

32.3

113th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–3

6.1–6.9 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

13 games, 4–3

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Aug 29 · 3:00 PM ET at#13

USC L 26–42

Rating change+2.7

Wk 1Sep 4 · 6:30 PM ET at

Eastern Michigan W 27–21

Rating change+3.1

Wk 2Sep 12 · 9:00 PM ET vs

Cal Poly W 30–20

Rating change−1.7

Wk 3Sep 19 · 11:00 PM ET vs

Fresno State L 10–26

Rating change−0.9

Wk 5Oct 3 · 11:59 PM ET at

Hawai'i W 20–16

Rating change+0.2

Wk 6Oct 9 · 9:00 PM ET vs

Wyoming L 13–16

Rating change+0.2

Wk 7Oct 17 · 9:00 PM ET at

UTEP W 24–11

Rating change+0.5

Wk 8Oct 24 · 5:00 PM ET at

Nevada Win 33%

Wk 9Oct 31 · 4:00 PM ET vs

New Mexico Est. 20%

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vs

Northern Illinois Est. 65%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET at

Air Force Est. 23%

Wk 12Nov 21 · 7:00 PM ET vs

UNLV Est. 39%

Wk 13Nov 27 · 3:30 PM ET vs

North Dakota State Est. 31%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 6.1–6.9
Conference record: 4.1–4.9

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 7%
Win the conference: 2%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Mountain West	108 of 136	−13.3	20.9	34.1	3–9	—
2024	Mountain West	86 of 134	−5.3	24.9	30.2	7–6	—
2023	Mountain West	60 of 133	0.9	26.9	26.0	7–6	—
2022	Mountain West	87 of 131	−5.9	23.0	28.9	7–5	—
2021	Mountain West	98 of 130	−7.5	20.9	28.4	5–7	—
2020	Mountain West	75 of 127	−2.3	25.9	28.1	7–1	—
2019	Mountain West	97 of 130	−8.4	26.8	35.1	5–7	—
2018	Mountain West	113 of 130	−16.4	22.0	38.4	1–11	—
2017	Mountain West	125 of 130	−23.6	17.9	41.5	2–11	—
2016	Mountain West	109 of 128	−14.2	23.0	37.2	4–8	—
2015	Mountain West	80 of 128	−2.5	27.7	30.1	6–7	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

SJSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles