Sun BeltJaguars

South Alabama

Next: at MarshallOct 20

Rank

105th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−11.5

90% range −19.3 to −3.7

Offense

25.7

75th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

37.2

133rd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

6.8–5.2 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 4–2

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET vs

SE Louisiana W 39–14

Rating change−1.2

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET at

Tulane L 24–28

Rating change+1.8

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Ohio W 41–36

Rating change−0.4

Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:45 PM ET at

Kentucky L 21–45

Rating change−1.0

Wk 5Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET vs

UL Monroe W 52–35

Rating change−0.5

Wk 6Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ET at

Arkansas State W 56–49

Rating change−0.5

Wk 8Oct 20 · 7:30 PM ET at

Marshall Win 51%

Wk 9Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET vs

Louisiana Tech Est. 38%

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at

Louisiana Est. 27%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vs

Troy Est. 54%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at

Southern Miss Est. 54%

Wk 13Nov 27 · 3:00 PM ET vs

App State Est. 58%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 6.8–5.2
Conference record: 4.8–3.2

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 15%
Win the conference: 4%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Sun Belt	103 of 136	−12.4	21.2	33.6	4–8	—
2024	Sun Belt	71 of 134	−1.0	27.0	28.0	7–6	—
2023	Sun Belt	45 of 133	5.9	29.7	23.8	7–6	—
2022	Sun Belt	79 of 131	−4.4	24.0	28.4	10–3	—
2021	Sun Belt	108 of 130	−11.2	19.9	31.1	5–7	—
2020	Sun Belt	120 of 127	−19.5	14.1	33.6	4–7	—
2019	Sun Belt	122 of 130	−19.4	15.9	35.2	2–10	—
2018	Sun Belt	126 of 130	−21.8	18.9	40.8	3–9	—
2017	Sun Belt	120 of 130	−17.9	14.6	32.5	4–8	—
2016	Sun Belt	108 of 128	−14.1	21.6	35.6	6–7	—
2015	Sun Belt	111 of 128	−16.5	23.2	39.7	5–7	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

SALA offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles