AmericanBulls

South Florida

Next: vs UABOct 31

Rank

82nd

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−4.7

90% range −12.5 to 3.0

Offense

22.1

88th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

26.8

73rd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

5–2

7.8–4.2 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

12 games, 5–2

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Florida International W 19–9

Rating change−2.7

Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET at

Army W 28–24

Rating change+0.3

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Delaware State W 59–17

Rating change0.0

Wk 4Sep 26 · 5:00 PM ET at

Bowling Green W 14–6

Rating change−1.5

Wk 5Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Temple L 13–17

Rating change−1.2

Wk 6Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ET at

UTSA L 24–31

Rating change−1.0

Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Kent State W 29–2

Rating change−0.5

Wk 9Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET vs

UAB Est. 78%

Wk 10Nov 6 · 7:30 PM ET at

East Carolina Est. 44%

Wk 11Nov 12 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Memphis Est. 41%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at

Florida Atlantic Est. 50%

Wk 13Nov 27 · Time TBD vs

Tulane Est. 62%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 7.8–4.2
Conference record: 3.8–4.2

Make the playoff: <1%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 6%
Win the conference: 2%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	American	35 of 136	10.3	34.5	24.2	9–4	—
2024	American	88 of 134	−5.6	27.6	33.2	7–6	—
2023	American	85 of 133	−5.6	28.0	33.6	7–6	—
2022	American	107 of 131	−11.5	26.3	37.9	1–11	—
2021	American	106 of 130	−10.4	23.7	34.0	2–10	—
2020	American	109 of 127	−14.4	23.5	37.9	1–8	—
2019	American	109 of 130	−11.3	19.2	30.5	4–8	—
2018	American	99 of 130	−10.1	24.6	34.7	7–6	—
2017	American	42 of 130	6.3	34.4	28.1	10–2	—
2016	American	60 of 128	1.9	39.4	37.5	11–2	—
2015	American	30 of 128	10.0	35.1	25.1	8–5	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

USF offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles