Sun BeltTrojans

Troy

Next: vs UL MonroeOct 24

Rank

103rd

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−10.1

90% range −17.9 to −2.3

Offense

20.1

107th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

30.2

95th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–3

5.7–6.3 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 3–3

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Sam Houston W 24–21

Rating change−2.4

Wk 2Sep 12 · 4:00 PM ET vs

Alabama State W 34–17

Rating change+0.6

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET at#25

Missouri L 17–27

Rating change+3.1

Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:30 PM ET at

Utah State L 10–21

Rating change+0.1

Wk 6Oct 6 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Southern Miss W 55–34

Rating change+0.5

Wk 7Oct 17 · 5:00 PM ET at

Louisiana L 6–33

Rating change−2.0

Wk 8Oct 24 · 4:00 PM ET vs

UL Monroe Win 85%

Wk 9Oct 29 · 7:30 PM ET at

James Madison Est. 16%

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vs

Louisiana Tech Est. 42%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD at

South Alabama Est. 46%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs

Georgia Southern Est. 43%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 3:00 PM ET at

Arkansas State Est. 40%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 5.7–6.3
Conference record: 3.7–4.3

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 4%
Win the conference: 1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Sun Belt	101 of 136	−11.9	17.3	29.2	8–6	—
2024	Sun Belt	99 of 134	−9.6	22.1	31.7	4–8	—
2023	Sun Belt	50 of 133	3.6	24.7	21.1	11–3	—
2022	Sun Belt	71 of 131	−2.0	21.7	23.7	12–2	—
2021	Sun Belt	101 of 130	−8.6	21.6	30.2	5–7	—
2020	Sun Belt	93 of 127	−6.7	24.6	31.3	5–6	—
2019	Sun Belt	103 of 130	−9.1	28.0	37.1	5–7	—
2018	Sun Belt	86 of 130	−4.1	24.1	28.2	10–3	—
2017	Sun Belt	51 of 130	3.8	30.8	27.0	11–2	—
2016	Sun Belt	78 of 128	−4.8	27.0	31.9	10–3	—
2015	Sun Belt	90 of 128	−5.1	27.0	32.1	4–8	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

TROY offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles