AmericanGolden Hurricane

Tulsa

Next: vs ArmyOct 23

Rank

95th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−8.1

90% range −15.6 to −0.7

Offense

21.8

92nd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

29.9

93rd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–3

6.6–5.4 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 4–3

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:45 PM ET vs

Oklahoma State W 24–10

Rating change+1.6

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET at

Sam Houston W 23–17

Rating change−0.3

Wk 3Sep 19 · 8:00 PM ET vs

East Texas A&M W 42–0

Rating change+1.0

Wk 4Sep 26 · 8:00 PM ET at

Arkansas L 6–34

Rating change−1.4

Wk 5Oct 1 · 9:00 PM ET vs

North Texas L 44–45

Rating change+0.8

Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET at

Navy L 26–34

Rating change−1.8

Wk 7Oct 17 · 4:30 PM ET at

Rice W 38–17

Rating change+1.6

Wk 8Oct 23 · 8:30 PM ET vs

Army Win 50%

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at

Tulane Est. 40%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vs

Florida Atlantic Est. 56%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs

Charlotte Est. 88%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at

UTSA Est. 29%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 6.6–5.4
Conference record: 3.6–4.4

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 3%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	American	98 of 136	−11.5	20.9	32.4	4–8	—
2024	American	132 of 134	−27.5	17.9	45.4	3–9	—
2023	American	118 of 133	−15.3	20.5	35.8	4–8	—
2022	American	81 of 131	−4.5	26.4	30.9	5–7	—
2021	American	66 of 130	0.6	25.9	25.3	7–6	—
2020	American	36 of 127	6.3	29.5	23.2	6–3	—
2019	American	68 of 130	−1.3	26.9	28.2	4–8	—
2018	American	103 of 130	−11.3	22.1	33.4	3–9	—
2017	American	97 of 130	−8.6	27.1	35.7	2–10	—
2016	American	32 of 128	8.2	41.2	33.0	10–3	—
2015	American	98 of 128	−9.7	34.2	43.9	6–7	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

TLSA offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles