Mountain WestRebels

UNLV

Next: vs Northern IllinoisOct 31

Rank

98th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−8.8

90% range −16.4 to −1.2

Offense

21.8

91st: points scored vs an average team

Defense

30.6

101st: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–3

7.0–5.0 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 4–3

Schedule

Wk 1Aug 29 · 10:00 PM ET vs

Memphis L 21–27

Rating change−1.1

Wk 1Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET at

Hawai'i W 21–6

Rating change+1.4

Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:45 PM ET at

North Texas L 6–44

Rating change−3.5

Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET at

Akron W 38–10

Rating change+2.3

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET vs

California W 39–31

Rating change−0.2

Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET vs

North Dakota State W 13–7

Rating change+0.4

Wk 7Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET at

Air Force L 31–41

Rating change−1.2

Wk 9Oct 31 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Northern Illinois Est. 80%

Wk 10Nov 7 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Wyoming Est. 71%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET at

New Mexico Est. 24%

Wk 12Nov 21 · 7:00 PM ET at

San José State Est. 61%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 9:00 PM ET vs

Nevada Est. 64%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 7.0–5.0
Conference record: 5.0–3.0

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 18%
Win the conference: 7%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Mountain West	76 of 136	−2.4	28.3	30.7	10–4	—
2024	Mountain West	50 of 134	4.5	29.5	25.0	11–3	—
2023	Mountain West	77 of 133	−3.4	29.0	32.4	9–5	—
2022	Mountain West	117 of 131	−15.1	20.2	35.3	5–7	—
2021	Mountain West	112 of 130	−12.3	21.5	33.8	2–10	—
2020	Mountain West	119 of 127	−18.2	20.4	38.6	0–6	—
2019	Mountain West	113 of 130	−13.7	22.8	36.5	4–8	—
2018	Mountain West	107 of 130	−13.5	26.3	39.8	4–8	—
2017	Mountain West	110 of 130	−13.3	24.7	37.9	5–7	—
2016	Mountain West	116 of 128	−16.6	26.6	43.2	4–8	—
2015	Mountain West	103 of 128	−13.4	26.9	40.3	3–9	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UNLV offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles