C-USAHilltoppers

Western Kentucky

Next: vs DelawareOct 27

Rank

109th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−12.2

90% range −19.7 to −4.6

Offense

19.4

110th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

31.6

107th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–4

5.6–6.4 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 3–4

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 10:30 PM ET at

Nevada L 14–49

Rating change−4.7

Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:45 PM ET at#3

Georgia L 20–70

Rating change−3.8

Wk 3Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET at#10

Indiana L 0–38

Rating change+0.7

Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Mercyhurst W 52–7

Rating change+2.5

Wk 5Oct 1 · 8:00 PM ET at

New Mexico State L 13–34

Rating change−0.8

Wk 6Oct 8 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Missouri State W 34–13

Rating change+1.7

Wk 7Oct 14 · 8:00 PM ET at

Sam Houston W 16–3

Rating change+0.9

Wk 9Oct 27 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Delaware Est. 62%

Wk 10Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET at

Middle Tennessee Est. 65%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Jacksonville State Est. 50%

Wk 12Nov 21 · 1:00 PM ET at

Liberty Est. 19%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 1:00 PM ET vs

Kennesaw State Est. 60%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 5.6–6.4
Conference record: 4.6–3.4

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 19%
Win the conference: 7%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	C-USA	89 of 136	−6.9	22.5	29.4	9–4	—
2024	C-USA	112 of 134	−12.9	19.3	32.2	8–6	—
2023	C-USA	102 of 133	−9.5	25.0	34.5	8–5	—
2022	C-USA	59 of 131	2.0	30.9	28.9	9–5	—
2021	C-USA	34 of 130	7.5	37.9	30.4	9–5	—
2020	C-USA	102 of 127	−10.3	18.1	28.4	5–7	—
2019	C-USA	61 of 130	0.3	24.7	24.4	9–4	—
2018	C-USA	106 of 130	−13.4	20.1	33.5	3–9	—
2017	C-USA	99 of 130	−9.3	24.6	33.9	6–7	—
2016	C-USA	15 of 128	15.9	43.6	27.7	11–3	—
2015	C-USA	12 of 128	15.9	44.0	28.1	12–2	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

WKU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles