Notre Dame vs Penn State

Final

College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Capital One Orange Bowl Neutral site

This game came before TEMPO’s live record started, so it has no forecast recorded before kickoff.

Actual game measures

How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.

Actual offensive measures for both teams
MeasureNDPSU
Points per drive2.452.18
Finishing drives5.406.00
EPA/play0.120.10
Success rate50.0%46.2%
Rush success47.4%51.2%
Pass success54.5%37.5%
Yards per play4.515.14
Explosive plays9.7%10.8%
Havoc12.5%4.6%
Pace72.065.0

Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 12:56 PM ET. — means no measured value.

Series

Head to head

Ratings this season

Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.

90% range

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com