Big TenNittany Lions

Penn State

3rd of 13413–3

Rank

3rd

of 134 FBS teams

Rating

+25.4

90% range 16.9 to 33.9

Offense

38.0

7th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

12.6

2nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

13–3

Playoff

Seed 6

the committee’s seed

16 games, 13–3

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Aug 31 · 12:00 PM ET at

West Virginia W 34–12

Rating change+1.2

Wk 2Sep 7 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Bowling Green W 34–27

Rating change−2.5

Wk 4Sep 21 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Kent State W 56–0

Rating change+1.6

Wk 5Sep 28 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Illinois W 21–7

Rating change−0.4

Wk 6Oct 5 · 12:00 PM ET vs

UCLA W 27–11

Rating change−0.8

Wk 7Oct 12 · 3:30 PM ET at#13

USC W 33–30

Rating change+0.5

Wk 9Oct 26 · 7:30 PM ET at#19

Wisconsin W 28–13

Rating change+1.7

Wk 10Nov 2 · 12:00 PM ET vs#1

Ohio State L 13–20

Rating change−1.8

Wk 11Nov 9 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Washington W 35–6

Rating change+1.7

Wk 12Nov 16 · 3:30 PM ET at

Purdue W 49–10

Rating change+0.6

Wk 13Nov 23 · 3:30 PM ET at

Minnesota W 26–25

Rating change−0.9

Wk 14Nov 30 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Maryland W 44–7

Rating change+0.1

Wk 15Dec 7 · 8:00 PM ET vs#2

OregonBig Ten Championship L 37–45

Rating change+0.1

PostDec 21 · 12:00 PM ET vs#11

SMUFirst round · College Football Playoff First Round Presented by Allstate W 38–10

Rating change+1.2

PostDec 31 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Boise StateQuarterfinals · Fiesta Bowl W 31–14

Rating change−0.9

PostJan 9 · 7:30 PM ET vs#2

Notre DameSemifinals · Orange Bowl L 24–27

Rating change−0.1

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2024

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2023	Big Ten	8 of 133	23.2	37.3	14.1	10–3	—
2022	Big Ten	7 of 131	21.8	37.3	15.5	11–2	—
2021	Big Ten	22 of 130	10.2	28.8	18.6	7–6	—
2020	Big Ten	22 of 127	13.0	35.5	22.5	4–5	—
2019	Big Ten	13 of 130	18.8	36.4	17.6	11–2	—
2018	Big Ten	14 of 130	15.8	36.3	20.5	9–4	—
2017	Big Ten	6 of 130	24.6	44.2	19.6	11–2	—
2016	Big Ten	13 of 128	16.1	42.2	26.1	11–3	—
2015	Big Ten	56 of 128	2.8	28.7	25.9	7–6	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

PSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles