Colorado State at Texas State
Final
CSU14% TXST86%
Called TEMPO had TXST by 16.9. TXST won by 39.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOTXST by 16.92.9 pts toward TXST vs the line | Market lineTXST by 14.0Opened: TXST by 12.8 | FinalTXST by 39.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO69.32.2 pts under the line | Market line71.5Opened: 67.5 | Final93 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 22.1 points
- Total miss
- 23.7 points
- Market margin miss
- 25.0 points
- Market total miss
- 21.5 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | CSU | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 2.80 | 5.90 |
| Finishing drives | 7.00 | 6.56 |
| EPA/play | 0.26 | 0.91 |
| Success rate | 42.2% | 66.0% |
| Rush success | 36.8% | 66.7% |
| Pass success | 48.0% | 64.7% |
| Yards per play | 6.38 | 8.28 |
| Explosive plays | 20.0% | 28.3% |
| Havoc | 11.1% | 1.9% |
| Pace | 70.0 | 74.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range