Pac-12Bobcats
Texas State
Next: vs Utah StateOct 24
Rank
61st
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
90% range −4.9 to 10.4
Offense
32.2
29th: points scored vs an average team
Defense
29.4
89th: points allowed vs an average team
Record
3–3
5.9–5.1 projected over the regular season
Playoff
<1%
chance to make the field
Schedule
Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.
Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Chances
Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details
- Projected record
- 6.7–5.3
- Conference record
- 3.9–3.1
- Make the playoff
- <1%
- First-round bye
- 0%
- Conference title game
- 22%
- Win the conference
- 9%
- Reach the quarterfinal
- <1%
- Reach the semifinal
- <1%
- Reach the final
- <1%
- Win it all
- 0%
What’s at stake next
The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.
Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win0%25%50%75%100% Chance now
Rating this season
90% range
Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.
Past seasons
| Season | Conference | Rank# | Rating | Off. | Def. | RecordW–L | CFP entryCFP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Sun Belt | 73 of 136 | −2.0 | 29.7 | 31.7 | 7–6 | — |
| 2024 | Sun Belt | 64 of 134 | 0.2 | 30.6 | 30.4 | 8–5 | — |
| 2023 | Sun Belt | 83 of 133 | −5.5 | 29.4 | 34.9 | 8–5 | — |
| 2022 | Sun Belt | 121 of 131 | −16.0 | 17.2 | 33.1 | 4–8 | — |
| 2021 | Sun Belt | 117 of 130 | −16.5 | 20.4 | 36.9 | 4–8 | — |
| 2020 | Sun Belt | 115 of 127 | −17.5 | 23.4 | 40.8 | 2–10 | — |
| 2019 | Sun Belt | 123 of 130 | −20.0 | 14.9 | 34.9 | 3–9 | — |
| 2018 | Sun Belt | 114 of 130 | −16.4 | 16.9 | 33.3 | 3–9 | — |
| 2017 | Sun Belt | 127 of 130 | −24.6 | 15.8 | 40.4 | 2–10 | — |
| 2016 | Sun Belt | 128 of 128 | −32.2 | 14.3 | 46.5 | 2–10 | — |
| 2015 | Sun Belt | 118 of 128 | −19.0 | 20.1 | 39.1 | 3–9 | — |
Profile
TXST offenseFBS average
Points per drive · points per possession.