Mississippi State at LSU
Final
MSST17% LSU83%
Called TEMPO had LSU by 15.0. LSU won by 31.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOLSU by 15.01.0 pts toward LSU vs the line | Market lineLSU by 14.0Opened: LSU by 11.5 | FinalLSU by 31.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO61.73.0 pts over the line | Market line58.8Opened: 59.3 | Final31 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 16.0 points
- Total miss
- 30.7 points
- Market margin miss
- 17.0 points
- Market total miss
- 27.8 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | MSST | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 0.00 | 4.43 |
| Finishing drives | 0.00 | 6.20 |
| EPA/play | −0.36 | 0.29 |
| Success rate | 40.9% | 69.0% |
| Rush success | 37.5% | 65.2% |
| Pass success | 47.4% | 73.5% |
| Yards per play | 3.80 | 5.98 |
| Explosive plays | 4.5% | 6.9% |
| Havoc | 15.9% | 8.6% |
| Pace | 68.0 | 70.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range