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SECTigers

LSU

Next: at AuburnOct 24

Rank

3rd

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+26.7

90% range 19.0 to 34.4

Offense

39.2

6th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

12.5

2nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

5–2

8.6–3.4 projected over the regular season

Playoff

51%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#20 Clemson W 51–10
Rating change+7.7
Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:30 PM ET vs Louisiana Tech W 45–14
Rating change+1.7
Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#16 Ole Miss L 24–32
Rating change−1.9
Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:30 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#12 Texas A&M W 35–6
Rating change+3.0
Wk 5Oct 3 · 7:45 PM ET vs McNeese W 63–14
Rating change−1.2
Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:00 PM ET at Kentucky L 34–35
Rating change−0.8
Wk 7Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET vs Mississippi State W 31–0
Rating change+2.0
Wk 8Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET at Auburn Win 76%
Playoff
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#6 Alabama Est. 63%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#9 Texas Est. 67%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#13 Tennessee Est. 63%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at Arkansas Est. 91%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
8.6–3.4
Conference record
5.6–3.4
Make the playoff
51%
First-round bye
15%
Conference title game
20%
Win the conference
12%
Reach the quarterfinal
40%
Reach the semifinal
23%
Reach the final
14%
Win it all
8%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025SEC31 of 13611.529.718.27–6—
2024SEC21 of 13414.635.621.09–4—
2023SEC7 of 13323.946.422.510–3—
2022SEC4 of 13124.540.816.310–4—
2021SEC52 of 1304.429.825.46–7—
2020SEC28 of 1279.137.128.05–5—
2019SEC1 of 13043.655.311.815–0Seed1
2018SEC15 of 13015.636.621.010–3—
2017SEC13 of 13016.532.315.89–4—
2016SEC3 of 12826.238.312.18–4—
2015SEC11 of 12816.135.419.39–3—

Profile

LSU offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com