Navy at UTSA
Final
NAVY22% UTSA78%
Called TEMPO had UTSA by 11.7. UTSA won by 4.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOUTSA by 11.74.9 pts toward UTSA vs the line | Market lineUTSA by 6.8Opened: UTSA by 6.8 | FinalUTSA by 4.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO54.51.3 pts under the line | Market line55.8Opened: 55.0 | Final72 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 7.7 points
- Total miss
- 17.5 points
- Market margin miss
- 2.8 points
- Market total miss
- 16.3 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | NAVY | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 2.92 | 3.17 |
| Finishing drives | 5.83 | 5.43 |
| EPA/play | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| Success rate | 50.0% | 44.3% |
| Rush success | 54.3% | 44.8% |
| Pass success | 37.5% | 43.9% |
| Yards per play | 5.38 | 5.57 |
| Explosive plays | 10.7% | 12.9% |
| Havoc | 8.9% | 11.4% |
| Pace | 56.0 | 70.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range