AmericanRoadrunners

UTSA

Next: at TulaneOct 24

Rank

73rd

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−2.0

90% range −9.4 to 5.4

Offense

28.0

62nd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

30.0

94th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

6–1

9.0–3.0 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 6–1

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET vs

UT Rio Grande Valley W 45–16

Rating change+0.2

Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET at

Texas State W 31–26

Rating change−0.1

Wk 3Sep 19 · 8:00 PM ET at#6

Texas L 6–30

Rating change+0.6

Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Colorado State W 59–45

Rating change+0.1

Wk 5Oct 3 · 7:00 PM ET at

Rice W 16–14

Rating change−1.0

Wk 6Oct 8 · 7:30 PM ET vs

South Florida W 31–24

Rating change+1.1

Wk 7Oct 17 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Navy W 38–34

Rating change−1.6

Wk 8Oct 24 · 8:00 PM ET at

Tulane Win 56%

Playoff

Wk 10Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET at

Florida Atlantic Est. 57%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vs

North Texas Est. 45%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at

UAB Est. 72%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs

Tulsa Est. 71%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 9.0–3.0
Conference record: 6.0–2.0

Make the playoff: 5%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 52%
Win the conference: 23%
Reach the quarterfinal: <1%
Reach the semifinal: <1%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

UTSAat TULN Now5%<1%8%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	American	65 of 136	2.0	31.7	29.7	7–6	—
2024	American	66 of 134	−0.6	29.8	30.4	7–6	—
2023	American	48 of 133	4.1	30.1	26.0	9–4	—
2022	C-USA	41 of 131	5.7	32.2	26.5	11–3	—
2021	C-USA	75 of 130	−1.4	29.7	31.1	12–2	—
2020	C-USA	97 of 127	−8.0	23.3	31.3	7–5	—
2019	C-USA	121 of 130	−18.5	19.3	37.9	4–8	—
2018	C-USA	127 of 130	−24.3	12.2	36.5	3–9	—
2017	C-USA	86 of 130	−5.9	19.3	25.2	6–5	—
2016	C-USA	99 of 128	−10.1	22.9	33.0	6–7	—
2015	C-USA	115 of 128	−18.5	19.0	37.5	3–9	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UTSA offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles