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Duke at Virginia

Fri, October 23 at 7:00 PM ET

DUKE39% UVA61%

TEMPO: UVA by 4.1.

TEMPO and the market

Forecast and market
MeasureTEMPOMarket line
MarginTEMPOUVA by 4.12.6 pts toward UVA vs the lineMarket lineUVA by 1.5Opened: UVA by 3.8
Total pointsTEMPO49.82.3 pts over the lineMarket line47.5Opened: 50.3

Market median saved Oct 20, 2026Grading

What’s at stake

Each team’s playoff chance now, and where it goes with a loss or a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Expected offense in this matchup

Expected offense for each team, adjusted for the opposing defense and venue.

DUKEUVA
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

How projections work

Series

Head to head

Ratings this season

Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.

90% range

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com