Preview image

ACCBlue Devils

Duke

Next: at VirginiaOct 23

Rank

52nd

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+4.5

90% range −3.4 to 12.3

Offense

28.8

53rd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

24.3

55th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

6.4–5.6 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET vs Tulane W 17–3
Rating change−0.1
Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET at Illinois W 31–27
Rating change+0.7
Wk 3Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET vs Stanford W 35–7
Rating change+2.1
Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET vs William & Mary W 62–7
Rating change+0.6
Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET at Georgia Tech L 25–28
Rating change−1.0
Wk 7Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET vs North Carolina L 20–24
Rating change−0.9
Wk 8Oct 23 · 7:00 PM ET at Virginia Win 39%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET vs Boston College Est. 76%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at NC State Est. 44%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#5 Miami Est. 6%
Wk 12Nov 20 · 7:30 PM ET vs Clemson Est. 58%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#18 Wake Forest Est. 19%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
6.4–5.6
Conference record
3.4–5.6
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
<1%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
<1%
Reach the semifinal
0%
Reach the final
0%
Win it all
0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025ACC51 of 1365.433.327.99–5—
2024ACC56 of 1342.627.124.59–4—
2023ACC47 of 1335.227.822.58–5—
2022ACC50 of 1313.228.825.59–4—
2021ACC123 of 130−19.420.239.53–9—
2020ACC99 of 127−9.726.436.12–9—
2019ACC73 of 130−2.226.328.55–7—
2018ACC44 of 1305.932.826.98–5—
2017ACC34 of 1308.930.121.27–6—
2016ACC56 of 1283.030.127.14–8—
2015ACC75 of 128−1.131.532.68–5—

Profile

DUKE offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com