Big TenSpartans

Michigan State

50th of 13011–2

Rank

50th

of 130 FBS teams

Rating

+5.3

90% range −3.8 to 14.5

Offense

30.7

46th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

25.4

45th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

11–2

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

13 games, 11–2

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 3 · 9:00 PM ET at

Northwestern W 38–21

Rating change+2.5

Wk 2Sep 11 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Youngstown State W 42–14

Rating change+0.9

Wk 3Sep 18 · 12:00 PM ET at#12

Miami W 38–17

Rating change+3.5

Wk 4Sep 25 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Nebraska W 23–20

Rating change−0.9

Wk 5Oct 2 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Western Kentucky W 48–31

Rating change−0.8

Wk 6Oct 9 · 12:00 PM ET at

Rutgers W 31–13

Rating change+1.9

Wk 7Oct 16 · 12:00 PM ET at

Indiana W 20–15

Rating change−0.1

Wk 9Oct 30 · 12:00 PM ET vs#8

Michigan W 37–33

Rating change+0.7

Wk 10Nov 6 · 3:30 PM ET at

Purdue L 29–40

Rating change−0.4

Wk 11Nov 13 · 4:00 PM ET vs

Maryland W 40–21

Rating change+0.5

Wk 12Nov 20 · 12:00 PM ET at#2

Ohio State L 7–56

Rating change−3.9

Wk 13Nov 27 · 3:30 PM ET vs#17

Penn State W 30–27

Rating change+0.7

PostDec 30 · 7:00 PM ET vs#12

PittsburghChick-fil-A Peach Bowl W 31–21

Rating change+2.0

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2021

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2020	Big Ten	71 of 127	−1.4	26.9	28.3	2–5	—
2019	Big Ten	33 of 130	7.9	27.1	19.1	7–6	—
2018	Big Ten	33 of 130	8.5	22.8	14.3	7–6	—
2017	Big Ten	23 of 130	11.3	30.5	19.2	10–3	—
2016	Big Ten	42 of 128	6.5	31.4	24.9	3–9	—
2015	Big Ten	28 of 128	10.7	30.9	20.2	12–2	Seed3

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

MSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles