Sun BeltRed Wolves

Arkansas State

70th of 1307–5

Rank

70th

of 130 FBS teams

Rating

−0.8

90% range −10.5 to 8.9

Offense

30.6

51st: points scored vs an average team

Defense

31.4

82nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

7–5

Playoff

—

no field saved for this season

12 games, 7–5

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 2 · 8:00 PM ET at

Nebraska L 36–43

Rating change+0.7

Wk 3Sep 16 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Arkansas-Pine Bluff W 48–3

Rating change−2.6

Wk 4Sep 23 · 7:00 PM ET at

SMU L 21–44

Rating change−1.3

Wk 6Oct 4 · 8:00 PM ET at

Georgia Southern W 43–25

Rating change−0.3

Wk 7Oct 14 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Coastal Carolina W 51–17

Rating change+1.2

Wk 8Oct 19 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Louisiana W 47–3

Rating change+2.9

Wk 9Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET at

New Mexico State W 37–21

Rating change+1.9

Wk 11Nov 11 · 5:00 PM ET at

South Alabama L 19–24

Rating change−1.4

Wk 12Nov 18 · 3:00 PM ET vs

Texas State W 30–12

Rating change−0.4

Wk 13Nov 25 · 3:00 PM ET at

UL Monroe W 67–50

Rating change+0.1

Wk 14Dec 2 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Troy L 25–32

Rating change+0.4

PostDec 16 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Middle TennesseeRAYCOM MEDIA CAMELLIA BOWL L 30–35

Rating change−0.6

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating through 2017

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2016	Sun Belt	71 of 128	−2.3	26.3	28.6	8–5	—
2015	Sun Belt	65 of 128	1.1	36.2	35.1	9–4	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

ARST offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles