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Mountain WestFalcons

Air Force

Next: at WyomingOct 23

Rank

91st

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−6.9

90% range −14.4 to 0.7

Offense

22.6

87th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

29.4

90th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

5–1

8.5–3.5 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 1:00 PM ET vs Duquesne W 34–0
Rating change+1.0
Wk 2Sep 12 · 10:00 PM ET vs North Dakota State L 32–38
Rating change−0.5
Wk 4Sep 26 · 10:30 PM ET at Nevada W 36–33
Rating change−0.3
Wk 5Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET vs Navy W 14–9
Rating change+0.2
Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET at Northern Illinois W 28–7
Rating change+2.3
Wk 7Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET vs UNLV W 41–31
Rating change+0.8
Wk 8Oct 23 · 9:00 PM ET at Wyoming Win 63%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 3:00 PM ET vs UConn Est. 54%
Wk 10Nov 7 · 7:30 PM ET at Army Est. 39%
Wk 11Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET vs San José State Est. 77%
Wk 12Nov 20 · 8:00 PM ET vs UTEP Est. 91%
Wk 13Nov 28 · 4:30 PM ET at New Mexico Est. 28%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
8.5–3.5
Conference record
5.6–2.4
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
39%
Win the conference
16%
Reach the quarterfinal
<1%
Reach the semifinal
0%
Reach the final
0%
Win it all
0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Mountain West111 of 136−13.819.733.54–8—
2024Mountain West102 of 134−10.417.628.15–7—
2023Mountain West73 of 133−2.122.324.49–4—
2022Mountain West45 of 1314.825.320.510–3—
2021Mountain West46 of 1305.829.824.010–3—
2020Mountain West67 of 127−0.923.824.83–3—
2019Mountain West34 of 1307.730.222.511–2—
2018Mountain West72 of 130−1.529.631.15–7—
2017Mountain West87 of 130−6.029.235.15–7—
2016Mountain West67 of 128−0.532.032.510–3—
2015Mountain West51 of 1284.634.529.98–6—

Profile

AF offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com