MACCardinals

Ball State

Next: vs Sacramento StateOct 24

Rank

128th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−18.9

90% range −26.5 to −11.3

Offense

17.8

115th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

36.7

132nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

2–5

4.5–7.5 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 2–5

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 12:30 PM ET at#1

Ohio State L 3–56

Rating change−0.7

Wk 2Sep 12 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Stony Brook W 41–17

Rating change+1.1

Wk 3Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET at

Liberty L 15–51

Rating change−1.2

Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET at

Kent State L 13–26

Rating change−0.9

Wk 5Oct 3 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Toledo L 24–39

Rating change+1.7

Wk 6Oct 10 · 12:30 PM ET at#25

Northwestern L 14–45

Rating change+1.0

Wk 7Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET at

Bowling Green W 32–31

Rating change+2.3

Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Sacramento State Win 81%

Wk 10Nov 4 · Time TBD at

Massachusetts Est. 41%

Wk 11Nov 11 · Time TBD vs

Buffalo Est. 59%

Wk 12Nov 17 · 7:00 PM ET at

Ohio Est. 14%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Central Michigan Est. 52%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 4.5–7.5
Conference record: 3.5–4.5

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: <1%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	MAC	133 of 136	−26.5	11.6	38.0	4–8	—
2024	MAC	122 of 134	−17.1	21.5	38.5	3–9	—
2023	MAC	109 of 133	−12.4	16.0	28.4	4–8	—
2022	MAC	108 of 131	−11.7	18.9	30.6	5–7	—
2021	MAC	107 of 130	−10.8	21.4	32.2	6–7	—
2020	MAC	63 of 127	0.4	29.9	29.6	7–1	—
2019	MAC	82 of 130	−5.0	29.2	34.2	5–7	—
2018	MAC	116 of 130	−16.7	21.9	38.7	4–8	—
2017	MAC	128 of 130	−25.0	18.4	43.4	2–10	—
2016	MAC	95 of 128	−9.1	26.3	35.4	4–8	—
2015	MAC	121 of 128	−20.7	19.6	40.3	3–9	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

BALL offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles