Ball State at Bowling Green
Final
BALL32% BGSU68%
Missed TEMPO had BGSU by 7.1. BALL won by 1.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOBGSU by 7.10.6 pts toward BGSU vs the line | Market lineBGSU by 6.5Opened: BGSU by 7.8 | FinalBALL by 1.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO49.03.5 pts over the line | Market line45.5Opened: 44.8 | Final63 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 8.1 points
- Total miss
- 14.0 points
- Market margin miss
- 7.5 points
- Market total miss
- 17.5 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | BALL | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 2.40 | 2.13 |
| Finishing drives | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| EPA/play | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Success rate | 54.2% | 40.7% |
| Rush success | 51.4% | 38.5% |
| Pass success | 60.9% | 46.2% |
| Yards per play | 6.75 | 4.35 |
| Explosive plays | 15.3% | 5.6% |
| Havoc | 6.8% | 20.4% |
| Pace | 59.0 | 54.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range