MACFalcons

Bowling Green

Next: at BuffaloOct 24

Rank

130th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−19.5

90% range −27.0 to −11.9

Offense

14.4

134th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

33.8

122nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

2–5

3.8–8.2 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 2–5

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Tarleton State L 13–20

Rating change−0.5

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET at#24

Nebraska L 7–56

Rating change−4.1

Wk 3Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET at

Iowa State L 7–55

Rating change−3.4

Wk 4Sep 26 · 5:00 PM ET vs

South Florida L 6–14

Rating change+0.8

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET at

Miami (OH) W 24–20

Rating change+3.1

Wk 6Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Sacramento State W 38–10

Rating change+2.1

Wk 7Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Ball State L 31–32

Rating change−2.8

Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET at

Buffalo Win 44%

Wk 9Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET at

Western Michigan Est. 14%

Wk 11Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Kent State Est. 60%

Wk 12Nov 20 · 7:30 PM ET at

Toledo Est. 11%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Massachusetts Est. 54%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 3.8–8.2
Conference record: 3.8–4.2

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 2%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	MAC	125 of 136	−18.2	14.3	32.5	4–8	—
2024	MAC	89 of 134	−5.8	22.0	27.8	7–6	—
2023	MAC	88 of 133	−6.3	23.4	29.7	7–6	—
2022	MAC	112 of 131	−12.5	20.2	32.6	6–7	—
2021	MAC	122 of 130	−18.8	17.4	36.2	4–8	—
2020	MAC	123 of 127	−24.4	15.0	39.4	0–5	—
2019	MAC	127 of 130	−28.7	14.6	43.3	3–9	—
2018	MAC	121 of 130	−19.6	20.9	40.5	3–9	—
2017	MAC	115 of 130	−16.1	26.1	42.2	2–10	—
2016	MAC	101 of 128	−11.2	27.3	38.5	4–8	—
2015	MAC	44 of 128	5.9	38.0	32.2	10–4	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

BGSU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles