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Big 12Bears

Baylor

Next: at KansasOct 24

Rank

42nd

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+8.1

90% range 0.1 to 16.0

Offense

30.0

47th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

21.9

41st: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

6.3–5.7 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET vs AuburnAflac Kickoff L 16–17
Rating change+0.7
Wk 2Sep 12 · 8:08 PM ET vs Prairie View A&M W 44–3
Rating change+3.6
Wk 3Sep 19 · 4:00 PM ET vs Louisiana Tech W 36–19
Rating change−0.9
Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET vs Colorado W 23–13
Rating change−0.4
Wk 5Oct 3 · 10:30 PM ET at Arizona State W 55–19
Rating change+3.0
Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET vs TCU L 6–17
Rating change−1.8
Wk 8Oct 24 · 1:00 PM ET at Kansas Win 41%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 30 · 7:30 PM ET at UCF Est. 49%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vs Iowa State Est. 64%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#14 BYU Est. 21%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#12 Texas Tech Est. 29%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at Houston Est. 30%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
6.4–5.6
Conference record
4.4–4.6
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
<1%
Conference title game
3%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
<1%
Reach the semifinal
<1%
Reach the final
<1%
Win it all
<1%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big 1249 of 1366.033.127.25–7—
2024Big 1226 of 13413.436.623.28–5—
2023Big 1278 of 133−3.626.730.33–9—
2022Big 1248 of 1313.529.325.76–7—
2021Big 1213 of 13014.831.016.212–2—
2020Big 1262 of 1270.627.727.12–7—
2019Big 1219 of 13013.433.119.711–3—
2018Big 1256 of 1303.832.628.87–6—
2017Big 1276 of 130−3.827.931.71–11—
2016Big 1231 of 1288.335.727.57–6—
2015Big 129 of 12816.242.526.210–3—

Profile

BAY offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com