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Pac-12Broncos

Boise State

Next: at Washington StateOct 24

Rank

44th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+7.6

90% range −0.1 to 15.3

Offense

31.2

37th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

23.6

50th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

5–1

8.8–2.2 projected over the regular season

Playoff

36%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#2 Oregon L 27–34
Rating change+1.7
Wk 2Sep 12 · 6:00 PM ET vs Memphis W 38–20
Rating change+0.5
Wk 3Sep 19 · 10:00 PM ET vs South Dakota W 38–24
Rating change+0.2
Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET at Western Michigan W 32–7
Rating change+1.7
Wk 5Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET vs Utah State W 37–18
Rating change+0.7
Wk 6Oct 10 · 10:30 PM ET at Fresno State W 38–31
Rating change−0.8
Wk 8Oct 24 · 6:00 PM ET at Washington State Win 76%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 10:00 PM ET vs Texas State Est. 69%
Wk 10Nov 7 · 6:00 PM ET at Colorado State Est. 90%
Wk 11Nov 14 · 6:00 PM ET vs Oregon State Est. 58%
Wk 12Nov 21 · 9:30 PM ET vs San Diego State Est. 89%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
9.5–2.5
Conference record
5.8–1.2
Make the playoff
36%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
84%
Win the conference
47%
Reach the quarterfinal
6%
Reach the semifinal
1%
Reach the final
<1%
Win it all
<1%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Mountain West66 of 1361.426.925.59–5—
2024Mountain West36 of 1349.431.622.312–2Seed3
2023Mountain West46 of 1335.830.624.88–6—
2022Mountain West44 of 1315.128.523.410–4—
2021Mountain West31 of 1308.230.622.47–5—
2020Mountain West51 of 1274.032.328.45–2—
2019Mountain West40 of 1306.331.224.912–2—
2018Mountain West25 of 13010.234.424.210–3—
2017Mountain West38 of 1307.332.925.611–3—
2016Mountain West51 of 1284.130.626.510–3—
2015Mountain West19 of 12812.737.724.99–4—

Profile

BSU offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com