MACBulls

Buffalo

Next: vs Bowling GreenOct 24

Rank

131st

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−19.8

90% range −27.4 to −12.2

Offense

14.5

132nd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

34.3

125th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–3

6.1–5.9 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 4–3

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 3 · 7:00 PM ET vs

UAlbany W 21–17

Rating change−2.4

Wk 2Sep 12 · 6:00 PM ET at

Florida International L 20–33

Rating change−0.6

Wk 3Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET at#17

Penn State L 13–55

Rating change−1.8

Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Robert Morris W 31–28

Rating change−2.9

Wk 5Oct 3 · 1:00 PM ET vs

Western Michigan L 17–20

Rating change+1.2

Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET at

Toledo W 23–8

Rating change+3.3

Wk 7Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ET vs

Massachusetts W 25–18

Rating change0.0

Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Bowling Green Win 56%

Wk 10Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET at

Miami (OH) Est. 18%

Wk 11Nov 11 · Time TBD at

Ball State Est. 41%

Wk 12Nov 18 · Time TBD vs

Central Michigan Est. 50%

Wk 13Nov 27 · 12:00 PM ET at

Akron Est. 43%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 6.1–5.9
Conference record: 4.1–3.9

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 4%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	MAC	112 of 136	−13.9	18.1	32.0	5–7	—
2024	MAC	108 of 134	−11.5	21.2	32.7	9–4	—
2023	MAC	113 of 133	−13.7	17.8	31.5	3–9	—
2022	MAC	100 of 131	−8.1	22.7	30.8	7–6	—
2021	MAC	104 of 130	−9.9	23.9	33.8	4–8	—
2020	MAC	37 of 127	6.3	33.4	27.2	6–1	—
2019	MAC	67 of 130	−1.1	26.5	27.6	8–5	—
2018	MAC	73 of 130	−1.8	31.1	32.9	10–4	—
2017	MAC	101 of 130	−10.7	22.6	33.3	6–6	—
2016	MAC	122 of 128	−20.1	17.4	37.4	2–10	—
2015	MAC	100 of 128	−11.0	25.4	36.4	5–7	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

BUF offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles