Massachusetts at Buffalo
Final
UMASS48% BUF52%
Called TEMPO had BUF by 0.7. BUF won by 7.
Forecast and result
| Measure | TEMPO | Market line | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | TEMPOBUF by 0.75.6 pts toward UMASS vs the line | Market lineBUF by 6.3Opened: BUF by 3.3 | FinalBUF by 7.0 |
| Total points | TEMPO47.05.5 pts over the line | Market line41.5Opened: 46.3 | Final43 |
Market median saved Oct 13, 2026Grading
Forecast results
- Margin miss
- 6.3 points
- Total miss
- 4.0 points
- Market margin miss
- 0.8 points
- Market total miss
- 1.5 points
Actual game measures
How each offense performed, based on the plays in our records.
| Measure | UMASS | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Points per drive | 1.42 | 1.23 |
| Finishing drives | — | 3.20 |
| EPA/play | −0.06 | −0.13 |
| Success rate | 41.8% | 36.0% |
| Rush success | 45.2% | 36.8% |
| Pass success | 37.5% | 36.1% |
| Yards per play | 4.67 | 4.21 |
| Explosive plays | 7.5% | 9.3% |
| Havoc | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Pace | 68.0 | 75.0 |
Compared with opponent. Lower havoc is better; pace and close values stay neutral. Results through Tue, Oct 20, 2026, 8:25 AM ET. — means no measured value.
Series
Head to head
Ratings this season
Each team’s strength at every cutoff in this saved update, with 90% ranges.
90% range