MACMinutemen

Massachusetts

Next: at UConnOct 23

Rank

127th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−18.1

90% range −25.8 to −10.5

Offense

15.4

128th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

33.5

119th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–3

5.9–6.1 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 4–3

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 3 · 6:00 PM ET at

Rutgers W 37–21

Rating change+9.0

Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Sacred Heart W 37–10

Rating change+2.3

Wk 3Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Stonehill W 36–14

Rating change−0.1

Wk 4Sep 26 · 9:00 PM ET at

Sacramento State W 35–6

Rating change+1.5

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Eastern Michigan L 14–38

Rating change−2.2

Wk 6Oct 10 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Miami (OH) L 19–20

Rating change+1.0

Wk 7Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ET at

Buffalo L 18–25

Rating change−0.4

Wk 8Oct 23 · 7:00 PM ET at

UConn Win 16%

Wk 10Nov 4 · Time TBD vs

Ball State Est. 59%

Wk 11Nov 11 · Time TBD at

Toledo Est. 12%

Wk 12Nov 18 · Time TBD vs

Akron Est. 61%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 12:00 PM ET at

Bowling Green Est. 46%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 5.9–6.1
Conference record: 2.8–5.2

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 0%
Win the conference: 0%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	MAC	136 of 136	−37.1	8.3	45.4	0–12	—
2024	Independent	121 of 134	−16.8	21.7	38.4	2–10	—
2023	Independent	127 of 133	−20.1	18.3	38.4	3–9	—
2022	Independent	130 of 131	−24.0	12.6	36.6	1–11	—
2021	Independent	130 of 130	−32.1	12.5	44.6	1–11	—
2020	Independent	127 of 127	−37.9	10.4	48.3	0–4	—
2019	Independent	130 of 130	−43.5	14.1	57.6	1–11	—
2018	Independent	112 of 130	−15.2	28.9	44.1	4–8	—
2017	Independent	82 of 130	−5.2	30.8	36.0	4–8	—
2016	Independent	114 of 128	−16.3	24.2	40.5	2–10	—
2015	MAC	104 of 128	−14.1	20.1	34.2	3–9	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UMASS offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles