ACCGolden Bears

California

Next: at SMUOct 24

Rank

96th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−8.2

90% range −15.8 to −0.6

Offense

21.6

93rd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

29.8

92nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–4

4.2–7.8 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 3–4

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 5 · 10:30 PM ET vs

UCLA L 24–45

Rating change−3.7

Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET at

Syracuse W 21–18

Rating change+2.7

Wk 3Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Wagner W 49–7

Rating change−0.1

Wk 4Sep 25 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Clemson L 10–24

Rating change+0.5

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET at

UNLV L 31–39

Rating change−0.3

Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Virginia Tech W 25–20

Rating change+1.2

Wk 7Oct 17 · 10:30 PM ET vs

Wake Forest L 7–41

Rating change−4.3

Wk 8Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET at

SMU Win 9%

Wk 9Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET at

NC State Est. 17%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD at

Virginia Est. 14%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs

Stanford Est. 61%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs

Pittsburgh Est. 20%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 4.2–7.8
Conference record: 3.2–5.8

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: <1%
Win the conference: 0%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	ACC	71 of 136	−1.0	26.2	27.1	7–6	—
2024	ACC	54 of 134	3.3	26.4	23.1	6–7	—
2023	Pac-12	53 of 133	2.5	29.8	27.3	6–7	—
2022	Pac-12	89 of 131	−6.1	21.7	27.8	4–8	—
2021	Pac-12	62 of 130	1.6	24.1	22.5	5–7	—
2020	Pac-12	64 of 127	0.3	25.0	24.7	1–3	—
2019	Pac-12	54 of 130	2.2	23.6	21.4	8–5	—
2018	Pac-12	49 of 130	4.9	25.6	20.8	7–6	—
2017	Pac-12	62 of 130	1.5	29.5	27.9	5–7	—
2016	Pac-12	64 of 128	0.8	38.5	37.7	5–7	—
2015	Pac-12	24 of 128	11.4	40.5	29.1	8–5	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

CAL offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles