Big 12Buffaloes

Colorado

Next: at Oklahoma StateOct 24

Rank

47th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+6.5

90% range −1.5 to 14.4

Offense

28.2

58th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

21.8

39th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

2–4

4.9–7.1 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

12 games, 2–4

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 3 · 8:00 PM ET at

Georgia Tech W 14–13

Rating change−0.2

Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Weber State W 52–21

Rating change−0.5

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ET at

Northwestern L 7–41

Rating change−2.1

Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET at

Baylor L 13–23

Rating change+0.2

Wk 5Oct 3 · 7:30 PM ET vs#11

Texas Tech L 7–29

Rating change+2.0

Wk 7Oct 17 · 10:15 PM ET vs#10

Utah L 24–27

Rating change+2.0

Wk 8Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET at

Oklahoma State Win 37%

Playoff

Wk 9Oct 31 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Kansas State Est. 51%

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at

Arizona State Est. 52%

Wk 11Nov 13 · 10:15 PM ET vs

Houston Est. 39%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at

Cincinnati Est. 53%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs

UCF Est. 58%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 4.9–7.1
Conference record: 2.9–6.1

Make the playoff: <1%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: <1%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Coloradoat OKST Now<1%0%<1%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Big 12	84 of 136	−5.0	23.8	28.8	3–9	—
2024	Big 12	27 of 134	13.0	35.3	22.3	9–4	—
2023	Pac-12	84 of 133	−5.6	27.1	32.7	4–8	—
2022	Pac-12	127 of 131	−19.1	18.7	37.8	1–11	—
2021	Pac-12	96 of 130	−7.0	21.7	28.8	4–8	—
2020	Pac-12	65 of 127	0.3	29.2	28.9	4–2	—
2019	Pac-12	65 of 130	−0.5	26.7	27.2	5–7	—
2018	Pac-12	78 of 130	−2.3	26.6	28.9	5–7	—
2017	Pac-12	67 of 130	−0.5	27.8	28.3	5–7	—
2016	Pac-12	36 of 128	7.4	30.4	23.0	10–4	—
2015	Pac-12	81 of 128	−2.9	24.1	27.0	4–9	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

COLO offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles