AmericanOwls

Florida Atlantic

Next: vs RiceOct 24

Rank

94th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−7.7

90% range −15.4 to 0.0

Offense

26.5

70th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

34.2

124th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

6.7–5.3 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

12 games, 4–2

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:45 PM ET at#25

Florida L 21–66

Rating change−2.1

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Navy W 38–30

Rating change+0.7

Wk 3Sep 19 · 6:00 PM ET vs

Florida International W 16–10

Rating change−0.1

Wk 4Sep 26 · 8:00 PM ET at

UL Monroe W 45–17

Rating change+1.9

Wk 5Oct 3 · 6:00 PM ET vs

Texas Southern W 66–10

Rating change+1.1

Wk 7Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET at

Army L 24–56

Rating change−1.2

Wk 8Oct 24 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Rice Win 76%

Playoff

Wk 9Oct 29 · 7:30 PM ET at

North Texas Est. 20%

Wk 10Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET vs

UTSA Est. 43%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD at

Tulsa Est. 44%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs

South Florida Est. 50%

Wk 13Nov 27 · Time TBD at

East Carolina Est. 37%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 6.7–5.3
Conference record: 3.7–4.3

Make the playoff: <1%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 5%
Win the conference: 2%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Florida Atlanticvs RICE Now<1%0%<1%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	American	109 of 136	−13.3	23.7	37.0	4–8	—
2024	American	119 of 134	−14.9	19.5	34.4	3–9	—
2023	American	95 of 133	−8.0	21.0	29.0	4–8	—
2022	C-USA	91 of 131	−6.5	23.9	30.4	5–7	—
2021	C-USA	92 of 130	−6.4	21.6	28.0	5–7	—
2020	C-USA	105 of 127	−12.6	18.0	30.6	5–4	—
2019	C-USA	37 of 130	7.1	33.4	26.3	11–3	—
2018	C-USA	76 of 130	−2.3	29.5	31.8	5–7	—
2017	C-USA	46 of 130	4.8	34.2	29.5	11–3	—
2016	C-USA	121 of 128	−19.7	23.5	43.2	3–9	—
2015	C-USA	96 of 128	−8.9	21.9	30.7	3–9	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

FAU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles