Sun BeltPanthers

Georgia State

Next: at Arkansas StateOct 24

Rank

90th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−6.6

90% range −14.6 to 1.3

Offense

25.3

77th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

32.0

110th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

7.5–4.5 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

12 games, 4–2

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 4 · 7:00 PM ET vs

North Carolina A&T W 59–10

Rating change+2.9

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET at

Kennesaw State W 31–17

Rating change+2.9

Wk 3Sep 19 · 7:00 PM ET at

UCF L 30–44

Rating change+2.0

Wk 4Sep 26 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Northern Illinois W 35–14

Rating change+1.3

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET vs

Old Dominion W 42–10

Rating change+4.8

Wk 7Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET at

James Madison L 22–49

Rating change−1.3

Wk 8Oct 24 · 7:00 PM ET at

Arkansas State Win 49%

Playoff

Wk 9Oct 31 · 2:00 PM ET vs

Coastal Carolina Est. 79%

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at

App State Est. 56%

Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD vs

Georgia Southern Est. 52%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at

Marshall Est. 63%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs

Louisiana Est. 52%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 7.5–4.5
Conference record: 4.5–3.5

Make the playoff: <1%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 1%
Win the conference: <1%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Georgia Stateat ARST Now<1%0%<1%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Sun Belt	120 of 136	−16.9	18.7	35.6	1–11	—
2024	Sun Belt	117 of 134	−14.1	20.9	35.0	3–9	—
2023	Sun Belt	99 of 133	−8.7	23.3	32.0	7–6	—
2022	Sun Belt	77 of 131	−3.1	27.8	30.9	4–8	—
2021	Sun Belt	56 of 130	3.4	30.5	27.1	8–5	—
2020	Sun Belt	92 of 127	−6.6	28.9	35.4	6–4	—
2019	Sun Belt	112 of 130	−11.7	26.3	38.0	7–6	—
2018	Sun Belt	119 of 130	−17.8	21.2	39.0	2–10	—
2017	Sun Belt	108 of 130	−12.8	19.0	31.8	7–5	—
2016	Sun Belt	112 of 128	−15.2	18.4	33.6	3–9	—
2015	Sun Belt	91 of 128	−5.6	23.2	28.8	6–7	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

GAST offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles