Mountain WestRainbow Warriors

Hawai'i

Next: at Northern IllinoisOct 24

Rank

116th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−14.9

90% range −22.4 to −7.5

Offense

16.4

122nd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

31.3

106th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

1–6

3.8–8.2 projected over the regular season

Playoff

chance to make the field

12 games, 1–6

Schedule

Wk 1Aug 29 · 7:00 PM ET at

Stanford L 27–37

Rating change−0.3

Wk 1Sep 5 · 10:00 PM ET vs

UNLV L 6–21

Rating change−2.1

Wk 2Sep 12 · 11:59 PM ET vs

New Mexico State W 29–19

Rating change−0.7

Wk 4Sep 26 · 3:00 PM ET at

Wyoming L 10–27

Rating change−2.3

Wk 5Oct 3 · 11:59 PM ET vs

San José State L 16–20

Rating change−0.3

Wk 6Oct 10 · 10:30 PM ET at

Arizona State L 12–30

Rating change+0.6

Wk 7Oct 17 · 10:30 PM ET vs

New Mexico L 10–21

Rating change+1.1

Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:30 PM ET at

Northern Illinois Win 54%

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD at

UTEP Est. 68%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 11:59 PM ET vs

North Dakota State Est. 33%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at

Nevada Est. 36%

Wk 13Nov 28 · 11:00 PM ET vs

Sacramento State Est. 86%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 3.8–8.2
Conference record: 1.9–6.1

Make the playoff: 0%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 0%
Win the conference: 0%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Mountain West	94 of 136	−8.8	21.7	30.5	9–4	—
2024	Mountain West	107 of 134	−11.4	18.9	30.2	5–7	—
2023	Mountain West	121 of 133	−16.0	18.9	34.9	5–8	—
2022	Mountain West	128 of 131	−22.1	16.8	38.9	3–10	—
2021	Mountain West	88 of 130	−5.0	26.8	31.7	6–7	—
2020	Mountain West	94 of 127	−7.6	24.5	32.1	5–4	—
2019	Mountain West	72 of 130	−1.7	31.7	33.3	10–5	—
2018	Mountain West	109 of 130	−14.0	25.4	39.4	8–6	—
2017	Mountain West	117 of 130	−17.1	20.5	37.6	3–9	—
2016	Mountain West	107 of 128	−13.6	25.3	39.0	7–7	—
2015	Mountain West	125 of 128	−23.0	17.7	40.7	3–10	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

HAW offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles