Big 12Cougars

Houston

Next: at UtahOct 24

Rank

26th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+13.5

90% range 6.2 to 20.9

Offense

34.2

17th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

20.6

32nd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

6–1

9.2–2.8 projected over the regular season

Playoff

14%

chance to make the field

12 games, 6–1

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Oregon State W 33–20

Rating change−1.3

Wk 2Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET vs

Southern W 77–6

Rating change+1.7

Wk 3Sep 18 · 8:00 PM ET at#14

Texas Tech L 26–28

Rating change+1.6

Wk 4Sep 26 · 4:00 PM ET at

Georgia Southern W 42–28

Rating change+0.4

Wk 5Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET vs

UCF W 27–17

Rating change+0.5

Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET at

Kansas State W 35–16

Rating change+2.2

Wk 7Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Oklahoma State W 35–32

Rating change−0.5

Wk 8Oct 24 · 10:15 PM ET at#11

Utah Win 27%

Playoff

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vs

Cincinnati Est. 81%

Wk 11Nov 13 · 10:15 PM ET at

Colorado Est. 61%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD at

West Virginia Est. 79%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs

Baylor Est. 70%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 9.2–2.8
Conference record: 6.2–2.8

Make the playoff: 14%
First-round bye: 2%
Conference title game: 14%
Win the conference: 6%
Reach the quarterfinal: 7%
Reach the semifinal: 2%
Reach the final: <1%
Win it all: <1%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Houstonat UTAH Now14%4%42%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Big 12	47 of 136	7.2	29.6	22.4	10–3	—
2024	Big 12	62 of 134	1.1	23.2	22.1	4–8	—
2023	Big 12	79 of 133	−3.9	25.7	29.7	4–8	—
2022	American	42 of 131	5.2	33.4	28.1	8–5	—
2021	American	41 of 130	6.5	31.4	24.8	12–2	—
2020	American	61 of 127	0.8	30.0	29.2	3–5	—
2019	American	77 of 130	−4.2	29.6	33.8	4–8	—
2018	American	94 of 130	−7.5	33.7	41.3	8–5	—
2017	American	60 of 130	2.1	28.0	25.9	7–5	—
2016	American	41 of 128	6.6	33.5	26.9	9–4	—
2015	American	29 of 128	10.7	36.7	26.0	13–1	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

HOU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles