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Big TenFighting Illini

Illinois

Next: vs OregonOct 24

Rank

46th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+7.0

90% range −0.9 to 14.9

Offense

31.1

38th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

24.2

53rd: points allowed vs an average team

Record

3–3

5.0–7.0 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 3 · 9:00 PM ET vs UAB W 42–23
Rating change−2.0
Wk 2Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET vs Duke L 27–31
Rating change−1.5
Wk 3Sep 19 · 2:00 PM ET vs Southern Illinois W 48–10
Rating change+1.1
Wk 4Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#1 Ohio State L 19–42
Rating change+0.8
Wk 5Oct 3 · 4:15 PM ET vs Purdue L 17–24
Rating change−2.2
Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET at Michigan State W 38–37
Rating change0.0
Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#10 Oregon Win 21%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 12:00 PM ET at Maryland Est. 59%
Wk 10Nov 6 · 8:00 PM ET vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#17 Nebraska Est. 32%
Wk 11Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET atRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#20 UCLA Est. 25%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#15 Iowa Est. 31%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at Northwestern Est. 32%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
5.0–7.0
Conference record
3.0–6.0
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
<1%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
0%
Reach the semifinal
0%
Reach the final
0%
Win it all
0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big Ten28 of 13611.931.319.49–4—
2024Big Ten46 of 1345.929.623.710–3—
2023Big Ten52 of 1332.728.926.25–7—
2022Big Ten19 of 13111.927.415.58–5—
2021Big Ten71 of 130−0.124.824.95–7—
2020Big Ten85 of 127−4.427.531.92–6—
2019Big Ten75 of 130−3.227.230.46–7—
2018Big Ten98 of 130−9.727.737.44–8—
2017Big Ten105 of 130−11.320.832.12–10—
2016Big Ten88 of 128−6.925.132.13–9—
2015Big Ten71 of 128−0.825.626.45–7—

Profile

ILL offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com