Sun BeltDukes

James Madison

Next: at App StateOct 22

Rank

65th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+2.3

90% range −5.5 to 10.1

Offense

28.7

56th: points scored vs an average team

Defense

26.4

71st: points allowed vs an average team

Record

7–0

11.0–1.0 projected over the regular season

Playoff

37%

chance to make the field

12 games, 7–0

Schedule

Wk 1Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Liberty W 20–13

Rating change+0.2

Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Wagner W 87–3

Rating change+2.5

Wk 3Sep 19 · 10:00 PM ET at

San Diego State W 26–13

Rating change+3.0

Wk 4Sep 26 · 6:00 PM ET at

Old Dominion W 46–20

Rating change+2.8

Wk 5Oct 3 · 3:45 PM ET vs

Marshall W 45–17

Rating change−0.5

Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET at

Georgia Southern W 27–24

Rating change−1.3

Wk 7Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET vs

Georgia State W 49–22

Rating change+1.0

Wk 8Oct 22 · 7:00 PM ET at

App State Win 77%

Playoff

Wk 9Oct 29 · 7:30 PM ET vs

Troy Est. 84%

Wk 10Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET at

Southern Miss Est. 84%

Wk 11Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET at

UConn Est. 62%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD vs

Coastal Carolina Est. 91%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 11.0–1.0
Conference record: 7.3–0.7

Make the playoff: 37%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 94%
Win the conference: 63%
Reach the quarterfinal: 3%
Reach the semifinal: <1%
Reach the final: <1%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

James Madisonat APP Now37%11%45%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Sun Belt	36 of 136	10.2	32.9	22.7	12–2	Seed12
2024	Sun Belt	70 of 134	−0.9	26.1	27.0	9–4	—
2023	Sun Belt	44 of 133	6.0	29.9	23.9	11–2	—
2022	Sun Belt	24 of 131	10.1	33.4	23.4	8–3	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

JMU offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles