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Big 12Wildcats

Kansas State

Next: at Arizona StateOct 24

Rank

40th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

+8.8

90% range 1.0 to 16.6

Offense

31.6

33rd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

22.8

46th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

4–2

7.0–5.0 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Week and dateOpponentResult or win chancePlayoff stakes or rating change
Wk 1Sep 5 · 7:00 PM ET vs Nicholls W 71–3
Rating change+2.3
Wk 2Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET vs Washington State W 34–7
Rating change+1.8
Wk 3Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET vs Tulane W 31–20
Rating change−1.3
Wk 4Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET at Cincinnati L 26–31
Rating change−1.8
Wk 6Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET vs Houston L 16–35
Rating change−2.1
Wk 7Oct 17 · 12:00 PM ET vs Kansas W 35–24
Rating change+1.4
Wk 8Oct 24 · 3:45 PM ET at Arizona State Win 58%
Playoff
Wk 9Oct 31 · 2:00 PM ET at Colorado Est. 49%
Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vs Oklahoma State Est. 57%
Wk 11Nov 14 · Time TBD at TCU Est. 42%
Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vsRetrospective TEMPO rank estimate#21 Arizona Est. 44%
Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at Iowa State Est. 52%

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record
7.0–5.0
Conference record
4.0–5.0
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
0%
Conference title game
<1%
Win the conference
<1%
Reach the quarterfinal
<1%
Reach the semifinal
<1%
Reach the final
<1%
Win it all
0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Team and next game Chance with a loss and with a win Chance now

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Past seasons

SeasonConferenceRank#RatingOff.Def.RecordW–LCFP entryCFP
2025Big 1242 of 1368.731.422.76–6—
2024Big 1220 of 13414.834.920.19–4—
2023Big 1215 of 13316.836.619.89–4—
2022Big 1217 of 13112.932.819.910–4—
2021Big 1219 of 13011.230.919.78–5—
2020Big 1270 of 127−1.328.429.64–6—
2019Big 1245 of 1304.926.922.08–5—
2018Big 1263 of 1301.726.725.05–7—
2017Big 1239 of 1307.231.824.68–5—
2016Big 1223 of 12811.134.123.09–4—
2015Big 1283 of 128−3.228.631.86–7—

Profile

KSU offenseFBS average
MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles

For information and entertainment, not betting advice. TEMPO is independent of the NCAA, the College Football Playoff, conferences, schools and sportsbooks. Team and conference names and logos are trademarks of their owners.

TEMPO v12Updated Oct 20, 2026Data from CollegeFootballData.com