Sun BeltRagin' Cajuns

Louisiana

Next: at Southern MissOct 24

Rank

79th

of 138 FBS teams

Rating

−4.5

90% range −11.9 to 2.8

Offense

23.2

83rd: points scored vs an average team

Defense

27.7

79th: points allowed vs an average team

Record

5–2

8.6–3.4 projected over the regular season

Playoff

<1%

chance to make the field

12 games, 5–2

Schedule

Ranks are retrospective TEMPO estimates, not poll rankings or ranks saved before kickoff.

Wk 1Sep 5 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Lamar W 38–7

Rating change+1.6

Wk 2Sep 12 · 11:00 PM ET at#11

USC L 30–49

Rating change+1.6

Wk 3Sep 19 · 8:00 PM ET vs

UAB W 21–14

Rating change−1.1

Wk 4Sep 26 · 6:30 PM ET at

Charlotte W 34–7

Rating change+1.5

Wk 5Oct 3 · 8:00 PM ET vs

Arkansas State W 23–20

Rating change0.0

Wk 6Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET at

Louisiana Tech L 31–32

Rating change−0.6

Wk 7Oct 17 · 5:00 PM ET vs

Troy W 33–6

Rating change+2.1

Wk 8Oct 24 · 5:00 PM ET at

Southern Miss Win 71%

Playoff

Wk 10Nov 7 · Time TBD vs

South Alabama Est. 73%

Wk 11Nov 12 · 9:00 PM ET at

UL Monroe Est. 85%

Wk 12Nov 21 · Time TBD vs

Coastal Carolina Est. 83%

Wk 13Nov 28 · Time TBD at

Georgia State Est. 48%

This season, simulated

Chances

Provisional odds. Schedule or rules need confirmation.Details

Projected record: 8.6–3.4
Conference record: 5.6–2.4

Make the playoff: <1%
First-round bye: 0%
Conference title game: 26%
Win the conference: 9%
Reach the quarterfinal: 0%
Reach the semifinal: 0%
Reach the final: 0%
Win it all: 0%

What’s at stake next

The playoff chance now, with a loss and with a win.

Louisianaat USM Now<1%0%<1%

With its 90% range at each cutoff

Rating this season

90% range

Estimated after the fact at each cutoff.

Estimates of how good the team was, not forecasts to grade

Past seasons

Season	Conference	Rank#	Rating	Off.	Def.	RecordW–L	CFP entryCFP
2025	Sun Belt	117 of 136	−15.2	18.9	34.1	6–7	—
2024	Sun Belt	94 of 134	−7.9	22.4	30.3	10–4	—
2023	Sun Belt	82 of 133	−5.5	26.2	31.7	6–7	—
2022	Sun Belt	72 of 131	−2.1	23.9	25.9	6–7	—
2021	Sun Belt	49 of 130	5.4	27.9	22.6	13–1	—
2020	Sun Belt	50 of 127	4.1	30.8	26.7	10–1	—
2019	Sun Belt	48 of 130	3.5	30.6	27.1	11–3	—
2018	Sun Belt	96 of 130	−8.5	29.0	37.6	7–7	—
2017	Sun Belt	122 of 130	−18.2	22.5	40.7	5–7	—
2016	Sun Belt	93 of 128	−8.9	21.5	30.4	6–7	—
2015	Sun Belt	105 of 128	−14.6	21.3	35.8	4–8	—

Adjusted for opponents; outward is better on both sides

Profile

UL offenseFBS average

MeasureValue

Points per drive · points per possession.

Profiles and percentiles